liveOPENdisputed

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Current stage

UMA final review

Escalated to UMA DVM

Trader readout

UMA/DVM settlement

Can end when UMA/DVM returns a final settlement.

Open main Polymarket market
ESTIMATED

Time left

est. 24-72h

Timing quality

Estimated from current stage

Data freshness

Polymarket Gamma updated at 2026-07-06T01:09:22.531Z

Coverage

Gamma-derived lifecycle; exact on-chain timestamps require indexer configuration.

Resolution timeline

UMA final review

Passed

7

Left

2

Total

10

Open

complete

complete

Review

complete

took est. 24h

Proposal 1

complete

took est. 24h

Window

complete

took est. 24h

Dispute 1

complete

took est. <1h

Proposal 2

complete

took est. 24h

Dispute 2

complete

took est. <1h

UMA Review

active

active / est. 24-72h

Settled

pending

est. 24h

Resolved

pending

final

Path duration

est. 8.1d

Current phase

not available

Next phase

est. 24h

70% completetiming: estimatedGamma-derived lifecycle; exact on-chain timestamps require indexer configuration.

Pro function

Final Time Left

Pro shows the estimated time remaining until the market reaches final resolution.

Unlock Pro

Start date

Jun 1, 2026, 5:53 PM

End date

Dec 31, 2026, 5:00 PM

Updated

Jul 6, 2026, 1:09 AM

Volume

$72,265

Liquidity

$24,490

Condition

0x5f3dabeb8d8174eff4a17c94d6396b7e5f71a2ba60a474f53dc69e6a493cbfe3